Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Sociedad
21.3%
Draw
24.5%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Sociedad
vs
1.30
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-0
5.0%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).