Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Bastia
39.9%
Draw
40.8%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42
Bastia
vs
0.76
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS17.4%
Over 0.569.9%
Over 1.532.0%
Over 2.511.5%
Over 3.53.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
30.1%
0-1
24.1%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
9.0%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-0
2.7%
0-3
2.2%
2-1
2.0%
1-3
0.9%
2-2
0.8%
0-4
0.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).