Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
Nice
16.6%
Draw
18.0%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Nice
vs
1.32
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS67.4%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.555.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.8%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).