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27 Jul 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.9%
Cittadella
22.1%
Draw
67.0%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Cittadella

vs
1.96

Venezia

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.8%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
1-3
6.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).