Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Bastia
32.2%
Draw
39.5%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Bastia
vs
0.93
Red Star
Markets
BTTS30.4%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.548.5%
Over 2.523.3%
Over 3.58.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.7%
0-0
17.9%
1-0
14.9%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
0-3
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).