Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Malmö FF
25.1%
Draw
17.3%
Degerfors
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Malmö FF
vs
0.91
Degerfors
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.0%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).