Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.8%
Union Berlin
24.7%
Draw
11.5%
Westerlo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Union Berlin
vs
0.53
Westerlo
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
2-0
15.2%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
10.4%
3-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).