Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.7%
Monza
15.5%
Draw
5.9%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Monza
vs
0.57
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
3-0
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
3.7%
2-2
2.4%
5-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).