Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Gateshead
19.0%
Draw
63.5%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Gateshead
vs
2.54
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS68.0%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.574.0%
Over 3.553.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.6%
1-3
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.8%
2-3
5.0%
1-4
4.8%
0-1
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
0-4
3.7%
2-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).