Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Werder Bremen
28.0%
Draw
25.7%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Werder Bremen
vs
1.08
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).