Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.0%
Swansea
21.9%
Draw
10.1%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Swansea
vs
0.61
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
1-0
14.5%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).