Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Vallecano
29.7%
Draw
38.6%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Vallecano
vs
1.11
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
12.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).