Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.6%
Vitória Guimarães
23.4%
Draw
13.9%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Vitória Guimarães
vs
0.74
Boavista
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).