Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Leicester
25.3%
Draw
43.2%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Leicester
vs
1.70
Norwich
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).