Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.3%
Atalanta
12.4%
Draw
5.2%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Atalanta
vs
0.51
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.2%
3-0
13.1%
1-0
11.8%
4-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
1-1
5.8%
5-0
4.4%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
0-1
2.4%
5-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).