Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Udinese
25.7%
Draw
35.2%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Udinese
vs
1.28
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).