Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
Sp Gijon
21.8%
Draw
20.9%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Sp Gijon
vs
1.08
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).