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07 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.0%
Scunthorpe
21.7%
Draw
19.4%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

2.17

Scunthorpe

vs
1.19

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS62.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).