Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Getafe
30.4%
Draw
39.4%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Getafe
vs
1.14
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
13.7%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).