Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Reggina
27.0%
Draw
19.2%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Reggina
vs
0.88
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).