Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.0%
Auxerre
26.5%
Draw
13.5%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Auxerre
vs
0.51
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS29.9%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.9%
2-0
14.7%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
10.2%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%
2-2
1.9%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).