Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Heidenheim
27.2%
Draw
44.9%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Heidenheim
vs
1.53
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).