Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Coventry
26.6%
Draw
20.1%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Coventry
vs
0.90
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).