Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Fylde
27.2%
Draw
40.1%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Fylde
vs
1.48
Sutton
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).