Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Elfsborg
24.5%
Draw
31.4%
Norrköping
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Elfsborg
vs
1.54
Norrköping
Markets
BTTS67.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).