Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.0%
Hamburg
13.2%
Draw
6.8%
Sandhausen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.99
Hamburg
vs
0.83
Sandhausen
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.573.4%
Over 3.553.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.8%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.3%
4-1
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
1-1
6.0%
5-0
4.4%
5-1
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).