⚽ FootballData
3 – 2
HHT: 01CSV

01 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
55.7%
Chesterfield
21.3%
Draw
23.0%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

2.26

Chesterfield

vs
1.42

Solihull

Markets

BTTS68.6%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
1-0
5.0%
3-2
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
0-0
3.2%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).