Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Alcorcon
30.3%
Draw
33.2%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Alcorcon
vs
0.98
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).