Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Nantes
22.6%
Draw
56.0%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Nantes
vs
1.71
Lyon
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
10.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).