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03 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.4%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
24.1%
Draw
43.6%
Zorya Luhansk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

vs
1.70

Zorya Luhansk

Markets

BTTS62.8%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
0-0
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-1
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).