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14 Sept 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.8%
Gaziantep
40.4%
Draw
31.8%
Kocaelispor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Gaziantep

vs
0.90

Kocaelispor

Markets

BTTS36.5%
Over 0.578.7%
Over 1.554.6%
Over 2.524.8%
Over 3.59.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
21.3%
1-1
16.5%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
3-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).