Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.7%
Besiktas
10.4%
Draw
3.9%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
3.58
Besiktas
vs
0.83
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.594.3%
Over 2.581.6%
Over 3.564.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.3%
4-0
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-1
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
5-0
6.0%
5-1
4.9%
1-1
4.5%
1-0
3.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).