Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Dover Athletic
27.6%
Draw
41.1%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Dover Athletic
vs
1.46
Sutton
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).