Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Stal Mielec
26.3%
Draw
40.7%
Pogoń Szczecin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Stal Mielec
vs
1.58
Pogoń Szczecin
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).