Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Mjällby
28.0%
Draw
12.6%
Malmö FF
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Mjällby
vs
0.57
Malmö FF
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
14.3%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).