Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Brest
22.2%
Draw
18.9%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Brest
vs
0.86
Nantes
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).