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HHT: 10CSV

24 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Liverpool
22.6%
Draw
17.4%
West Ham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Liverpool

vs
1.11

West Ham

Markets

BTTS60.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).