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27 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.0%
Forest Green
26.7%
Draw
23.3%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Forest Green

vs
1.04

Halifax

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).