Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.6%
Crawley Town
18.5%
Draw
66.9%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Crawley Town
vs
2.16
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.1%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
8.7%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
7.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
4.0%
1-4
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).