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DHT: 10

26 Sept 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.2%
Wisła Płock
32.7%
Draw
36.0%
Katowice

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Wisła Płock

vs
1.07

Katowice

Markets

BTTS42.1%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).