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21 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.4%
Annan Athletic
22.3%
Draw
56.3%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Annan Athletic

vs
2.06

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS62.0%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.0%
0-1
7.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.5%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
4.1%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).