Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.6%
Moreirense
21.2%
Draw
19.1%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Moreirense
vs
0.96
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).