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20 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.2%
Southall
17.2%
Draw
66.6%
Willenhall Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Southall

vs
2.47

Willenhall Town

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.4%
0-1
6.9%
0-3
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-3
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).