Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Reims
28.6%
Draw
46.8%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Reims
vs
1.25
Lille
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).