Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
St Etienne
20.3%
Draw
56.0%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
St Etienne
vs
2.12
Lille
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
0-2
7.2%
0-1
7.0%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
0-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).