Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Tranmere
22.2%
Draw
28.2%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Tranmere
vs
1.30
Newport County
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).