Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Mansfield
21.2%
Draw
20.4%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Mansfield
vs
1.03
Crewe
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.5%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).