Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Crotone
29.8%
Draw
32.9%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Crotone
vs
1.19
Livorno
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).