⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 20CSV

20 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
49.4%
Dorking
23.4%
Draw
27.2%
Gateshead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Dorking

vs
1.43

Gateshead

Markets

BTTS66.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
3-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).