Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Crystal Palace
35.9%
Draw
25.9%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Crystal Palace
vs
0.80
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.582.2%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.527.9%
Over 3.511.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.8%
1-1
15.1%
1-0
14.6%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
3-0
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).